Politics latest: 'Skip fire', 'self-destroying', 'bonkersness': Leaked WhatsApps show Tories turning on each other over Johnson allegations (2023)

This morning, the Home Office will release long-awaited data onimmigration, which will detail the number of people who settled in the UK last year.

It is widely expected that net migration will have reached record levels, with forecasters suggesting it could be close to one million.

If this is the case, it would surpass a previous peak of 504,000 in the year to June 2022.

The Office for National Statistics will publish data on Thursday for the year ending December 2022.

Analysis by the Centre for Policy Studies forecasts net migration could have hit between 700,000 and 997,000 in that period.

Those figures are substantially higher than the 226,000 level when the 2019 Conservative Party manifesto promised that "overall numbers will come down" following the introduction of post-Brexit border controls.

Rishi Sunak has promised action to bring down net migration, telling reporters on a recent trip to Japan that he wanted to be "crystal clear" with the public that the "numbers are too high" and he wants to "bring them down".

The latest available figures showed levels are already at a record high.

Total net migration - the difference between the number of people moving to the UK and the number leaving the country - in the 12 months to June 2022 stood at an estimated 504,000.

This was up sharply from 173,000 in the year to June 2021.

Good morning!

Welcome back to the Politics Hub, where we'll bring you live updates from the heart of Westminster.

It's a busy day ahead - here is what's coming up:

• This morning, the Home Office will release long-awaited data on immigration, which will detail the number of people who have settled in the UK in the year to December 2022;
• It is widely anticipated that net migration will be close toone million for the last 12 months, bolstered by the Ukraine refugee support scheme. If this is the case, it would surpass a previous peak of 504,000 in the year to June 2022;
• Reaction will likely continue to newsBoris Johnson has been referred to police by the Cabinet Office over fresh claims he broke lockdown rules;
• The ex-prime minister gave a speech in the US in the early hours of this morning - we'll catch you up with anything notable;
• Ofgem is set to announce what the new energy price cap will be from July to September. Cornwall Insight forecasts it will be £2,053.77, down from £3,280;
  
• We'll be speaking to former minister Robert Buckland at 9.30am, and Labour's Stephen Kinnock at 8.20am.

We'll have all the latest right here, as it happens.

Thank you for following along for another very busy day of live updates from the heart of Westminster.

We'll be back in the morning, but until then, here are today's highlights:

• Prime Minister Rishi Sunak decided that his home secretary, Suella Braverman, will not face an investigation after a speeding row;
• The COVID inquiry issued a legal notice to the Cabinet Office to turn over all WhatsApps from Boris Johnson during the pandemic;
• Leaked Tory WhatsApps showed MPs turning on each other over Boris Johnson's legal woes;
  
• It was announced that inflation has fallen to 8.7% - the lowest rate in over a year;
• A probe was ordered into the Teesworks site;
• A Tory MP was kicked out of the Commons during PMQs as the PM and Sir Keir Starmer went head to head;
• Shadow chancellorRachel Reeves unveiled 'securonomics' as Labour's economic philosophy for the future of Britain;
• A Labour MP who harassed an assistant and racially abused a journalist got the whip back.
  

We'll back tomorrow from 6am - do join us.

Sources close to Boris Johnson have accused the Cabinet Office of putting out two "misleading" statements regarding the referral of the former PM to the police amid fresh claims of lockdown rule breaking.

Allies of Mr Johnson believe that two statements made by the department were factually inaccurate.

The first is a statement that said the Cabinet Office had not made any assessments of the alleged rule-breaking events themselves, nor accused anyone of lawbreaking directly.

However, the former PM's allies say this is contradicted in a letter sent to the Commons privileges committee that is currently investigating whether Mr Johnson misled parliament over partygate.

The second allegation is that Cabinet Office minister Jeremy Quin authorised the handing over of material to the Commons committee.

As a result, sources close to Mr Johnson are demanding public apologies from Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Dowden and Mr Quin.

Earlier today, Sky News published internal Tory WhatsApp messages leaked to our deputy political editor Sam Coates showing MPs turning on each other over Boris Johnson's latest woes (see post at 18.30).

The messages from this morning showed one Tory MP asking her colleagues if they are "determined to turn our party into a skip fire", and another quipped: "Would the last Tory MP to leave the building please turn off the lights"?

Andrea Jenkyns, the Tory MP forMorley and Outwood who was briefly a minister under Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, had sharp words for her colleagues and Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.

She wrote in a leaked WhatsApp: "I don't like leakers, I prefer to say things to peoples face.

"However it is interesting some of those commenting were happy to speak out publicly against the Boris and Liz administrations. So maybe less sanctimony and hypocrisy.

"Clearly many in the party are unhappy. But those at the top are not doing anything about this to bring people together."

Sky News revealed the messages at 6.30pm, and Ms Jenkyns has now responded the report.

Tagging Sam Coates, she tweeted: "You may be salivating thinking Cons MPs are turning on each other, but we would all much rather have a Cons Gov than a socialist wokeafest destroying our beloved country & way of life.

"We have been through worse, look at the groundhog day [Theresa May] years!"

You will have seen or heard reports about the Teesworks project and allegations of "corruption".

The first question posed to Rishi Sunak at Prime Minister's Questions earlier today was about the project, and it has turned into something of a partisan fight.

With lots of news swirling around, here is what you need to know.

What is the Teesworks project and what are the "corruption" allegations?

Teesworks is the site of the former Redcar Steelworks, which is being redeveloped into an industrial site and a freeport with thousands of jobs in the pipeline.

The Conservative Party has hailed the project as a huge success led by the the Tory mayor of the Tees Valley, Ben Houchen.

However, there have been allegations of "corruption" made, including by Labour MPs.

Concerns have been raised around claims the private companies which now own the majority of the Teesworks project have profited to the detriment of the taxpayer.

What is the government doing about it?

Earlier today, Levelling Up Secretary Michael Gove wrote to Mayor Houchen, to say that he will "appoint a panel, in line with established practice, to undertake an independent, external assurance review".

It had been expected that a statutory National Audit Office (NAO) inquiry would be instructed by Mr Gove, but this has not materialised.

Mr Houchen, shadow levelling up secretary Lisa Nandy, levelling up committee chair Clive Betts and Labour MP Andy McDonald had all called for an NAO probe.

Mr Houchen wanted one as he is adamant there is no corruption. The Labour MPs want one as they want to know more about what is going on.

However, the probe will be carried out bya panel as the soon-to-be-created Office for Local Government (Oflog) watchdog - which is not yet operational.

Labour has said the announcement "falls way short" of what is needed, while a Conservative MP has welcomed the news.

You can read the full details on the saga here.

Fresh allegations of lockdown rule-breaking in Downing Street and Chequers have emerged this evening.

The Guardian newspaper has been told that about a dozen previously undisclosed gatherings held during the COVID period have been referred to police.

The paper cited government sources saying that around 12 potentially illegally gatherings were referred to police by civil servants in a dossier two weeks ago.

However, Boris Johnson's team has tonight denied the reports.

Sources close to the former PM say the number is incorrect, while the Met Police and the Cabinet Office said they had nothing to add to the statements made last night.

The Cabinet Office reiterated its statement yesterday that said: "Ministers played no role in deciding whether the information should be handed over to the police."

Amid these new allegations, Rishi Sunak is facing fresh calls to delay or cancel Mr Johnson's resignations honours list that is thought to reward many of his allies.

Labour's deputy leader, Angela Rayner, said: "With the disgraced former prime minister now facing new allegations and under multiple investigations, there should be no question of Rishi Sunak approving honours for his cronies and cheerleaders.

"The prime minister should refuse to do Boris Johnson's bidding and make it clear that he will reject these demands.

"His top priority right now should be tackling the cost of living crisis facing ordinary people, not handing out more rewards for thirteen years of Tory failure."

And Lib Dem chief whipWendy Chamberlain added: "The days of exiting prime ministers nominating peers should be left in the past, particularly when they leave under such a cloud of scandal as Johnson.

"At the very least Sunak must step in and delay this list while Johnson is under police investigation."

Asked by Sophy Ridge whether he would be more scared to go up against Boris Johnson or Rishi Sunak at the next general election, Labour's Pat McFadden said: "If you turn round for five minutes, the Tories have changed their leader."

Pivoting to the fresh claims of lockdown rule-breaking in Downing Street, the shadow chief secretary to the Treasury said that "everything Boris Johnson touches is a gigantic mess" and it's "very hard to keep track" of the latest Boris Johnson news.

He continued: "The other thing is it's always someone else's fault, it's always a plot."

In reference to the Tories and civil servants, he said: "They keep referring to this thing called 'the blob', and in my mind, 'the blob' has replaced Brussels in Tory demonology.

"They used to blame Brussels for everything. Now for the Tories, it's 'the blob ate my homework', and it's always someone else's fault."

He added: "It will never happen, but it would nice for Boris Johnson to take responsibility for his actions just once."

But pushed by Sophy Ridge on whether he would prefer to go up against Mr Johnson or Mr Sunak, he said: "There's a saying in football - 'you can only play the team in front of you'. So, I really don't care who the Tories pick.

"We're confident that we'll be in a much better position to take them on this time than for many years."

Although The Take with Sophy Ridge is not airing this evening after the terribly sad death of Tina Turner, Sophy spoke to Labour frontbencher Pat McFadden earlier, and we wanted to bring you his comments.

Sophy first asked about the figures today showing inflation has dropped to 8.7%, but the shadow chief secretary to the Treasury said they were "higher than expected" and that markets had expected them to be lower.

"What this means is even though it has dropped a little bit, prices are rising faster here than any other major industrialised economy," he said.

He laid the blame for sky-high mortgage rates squarely at the door of former PM Liz Truss, saying: "People are still paying the price for that mini-budget.

"It was a reckless act that put booster rockets under mortgage rates and put pensions on life support."

Asked if the Bank of England should bring interest rates down to help families, he said: "It's not a good idea for politicians to start saying the bank is right or wrong in interest rates decisions."

He noted that it was Labour under Tony Blair that made the Bank of England independent, with the power to decide interest rates for itself.

Sophy noted that Labour has been talking a lot about fiscal responsibility, but also huge public service reforms, notably the NHS.

Asked if these reforms will require tax rises, Mr McFadden said: "If you look at the tax burden, it's already at a 70-year high.

"We've to make our decisions about those if we're ever in a position in government, but I think we're very conscious of the size of the tax burden..."

He said the last Labour government did "a lot of reform of public services" and said that was a combination of investment and reform.

But he declined to say anything substantive on taxes, saying those policies would be announced "at the time of an election."

Earlier this afternoon, reports emerged that three Conservative MPs were threatening to trigger by-elections over Boris Johnson's referral to the police over new claims of lockdown rule-breaking.

It is rumoured that Nadine Dorries, Nigel Adams and Sir Alok Sharma have been granted peerages in Mr Johnson's resignation honours that are expected to be announced at any time.

In order to take up their seats in the Lords, they would have to resign from the Commons, which would trigger by-elections in their constituencies.

This afternoon, The Telegraph reported claims from allies of Mr Johnson that they could resign from the Commons earlier than expected, which would bring forward those by-elections and create an unwanted headache for Rishi Sunak.

But this evening, two of the three MPs have denied the reports, labelling them "b******s".

Former culture secretary Nadine Dorries tweeted: "Hacks need to go and have a lie down. Not been mentioned or discussed. Not happening. It’s b******s."

And Nigel Adams, MP forSelby and Ainsty, told the Guido Fawkes website: "It’s utter b******s. No one has spoken to me, no one has said anything. These people just make things up."

Sir Alok Sharma has yet to comment.